He stands a great chance. IMO Frankie Edgar just happens to have BJ's number. BJ Penn is still a top P4P fighter in my book. Matt Hughes has looked impressive in his last couple of fights. The big factor here is who comes in with the better game plan, whichever fighter utilizes his game plan first will win the fight. BJ Penn will try to keep it on the feet and avoid takedowns, Hughes however will look to set up his takedowns early in the fight. Expect a slug fest in the early going and a grind out ground battle towards the end of the fight. Hard to predict for sure, I got BJ Penn via TKO.